Tory leadership| As the UK leadership election nears a close, Truss is predicted to win.

The battle to become the next prime minister of Britain is down to the wire, and Liz Truss seems to be in the driver's seat despite significant obstacles.

In polls of Conservative party members who will decide the election, which began in early July, Foreign Secretary Truss, 47, has regularly led former finance minister Rishi Sunak, 42, by large percentages.

Since early this month, an estimated 200,000 members of the Tory grassroots have had the opportunity to vote for their favourite candidate before the closing of the postal and online voting on Friday (2 September).

The winner will be chosen on Monday, replace outgoing leader Boris Johnson the following day in Downing Street, and then immediately face crises related to the rising cost of living.

After Johnson declared in early July that he would be stepping down, he found himself in the unfortunate position of having to steer Britain through its greatest inflation in 40 years and fears of an impending recession.

It came after several months of scandals that ultimately forced Sunak and dozens of other ministers to leave the administration, pushing him to leave as well.

Truss was one of the last ministers and lawmakers to remain supportive of Johnson, believing he needed more time to salvage his three-year tenure, which had been marred by turmoil.

According to reports, almost 10,000 Tory members are so incensed at his forced resignation that they are pressuring the ruling party to permit a vote on whether or not to accept it.

While Downing Street has distanced itself from the campaign and insisted Johnson will support the victor of the leadership contest, the Tory hierarchy is opposing the idea.

The deep conflict between Truss and Sunak may make it difficult for whoever that is to unite the Conservatives.


Before the party's MPs narrowed that number down in five votes, eight Conservative MPs were initially eligible to run in the election.

Early on, Sunak emerged as the winner of all those votes cast by Conservative MPs, with Truss consistently coming in third.

On July 20, she barely made it into the final pairing by eight votes.

But as soon as the run-off got underway, she immediately established herself as the front-runner, garnering the support of influential members of Johnson's departing cabinet and snatching up numerous MPs from her rival's camp.

Sunak has been demoted to long-shot contender after receiving criticism from certain Tory members for his role in Johnson's removal.

The final hustings will take place in London on Wednesday night. The two candidates have sparred over their policies and histories in a number of television debates as well as a dozen meetings with members.

However, surveys indicate that Truss is ahead by more than 30 points, thus the race appears to be done.

Recent polls of the larger electorate, however, indicate the difficulty ahead.

In a deteriorating economic climate, the main opposition Labour party currently enjoys a double-digit advantage over the Conservatives.

The following general election is scheduled for January 2025, however it could happen sooner because the majority of voters anticipate it to happen in 2024.

‘Remarkable achievement’

How to address Britain's escalating economic problems has dominated the leadership race, with the competing contenders and their camps engaging in open political combat.

In contrast to her adversary, who she accuses of pushing taxes to record highs and overseeing diminishing growth, Truss has promised rapid tax cuts and a fresh focus on economic growth.

In the short term, Sunak has emphasised the necessity to retain current taxes, including recent increases, while promising more focused assistance for those who are most in need during the cost-of-living crisis.

He has claimed that his performance as the finance minister during the pandemic proves he can aid Britons in overcoming their financial difficulties.

Mass unemployment is said to have been avoided because to his furlough system, which temporarily paid the wages of millions of people.

Sunak, a Brexit supporter who was first elected to parliament in 2015 and who voted to leave the European Union in 2016, has criticised Truss for using "fairytale economics" and asserted that her tax cuts will aggravate inflation.

However, analysts claim that Truss, who was first elected an MP in 2010, has greater political experience and talents as seen by the campaign.

John Curtice, a polling specialist, noted Sunak had appeared a "little brittle," but added that "she was able to communicate well."

Tim Bale, a professor of politics at Queen Mary University of London, pointed out that Truss has occasionally gone against her own track record.

Despite having served as a minister in many Tory governments over the past ten years and having voted to stay in the EU in 2016, she presented a populist anti-establishment image when running for office.

She's managed to portray herself as more somehow. It is a tremendous accomplishment that Rishi Sunak, a Brexiteer, really voted to leave the EU, according to Bale.

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